Denver Nuggets (@1.73) vs New Orleans Pelicans (@2.15)
01-11-2019

Our Prediction:

Denver Nuggets will win

Denver Nuggets – New Orleans Pelicans Match Prediction | 01-11-2019 21:40

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On the contrary, the Nuggets are entering on two days rest. The Pelicans are at a disadvantage in the rest department as they were just on the court in Houston last night and now have to travel home to play this game on short rest. For Denver, this contest concludes a two-game road trip that will send the Nuggets back to the Mile High City to host the Houston Rockets on Friday. New Orleans will be back on the road on Saturday to face the San Antonio Spurs before returning home on Monday to host the Indiana Pacers.

New Orleans is 3rd in the league with 116.6 points per game this year. The Pelicans surrender 115.1 points per contest, which ranks them 27th in the NBA. They are 8th in the league in rebounding with 46.7 boards per game and 4th in assists per contest with 26.8. Their defense allows a 46% shooting percentage and a 37% average from 3-point range, ranking them 19th and 28th in those defensive statistics. The Pelicans are 11th in turnovers per game with 14.0. The Pelicans are 9th in the NBA in forcing turnovers with 12.9 per game. They rank 26th with 25.7 assists allowed per contest, and 15th with 44.4 rebounds surrendered per game. They shoot 35% from 3-point range, which is good for 14th in the NBA. They are 3rd in the league in shooting at 48%, while their average scoring margin is 1.5.

Their defensive eFG% for the year currently is 53%, which is 8th in the NBA. The Pelicans are 4th in the league in defensive rating with 112.8, and their offensive rating of 114.3 is ranked 24th. As a unit they are 7th in the league in true shooting percentage with 57% and they shoot 3-pointers on 31% of their shot attempts, ranking 26th in the NBA. New Orleans is 16th in the league in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 12.1 times per 100 possessions while forcing 11.2 on defense. They are 6th in the NBA in pace with 102 possessions per 48 minutes, and their eFG% of 54% is 6th.

Takeaways from Denver and New Orleans Most Recent Games

The under is 4-0 in Nuggets last 4 overall. The over is 4-1 in Pelicans last 5 overall. ThePelicans are 4-9 ATS in the last 13 meetings in Denver and4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings. TheNuggets are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 Saturday games,8-2 ATS in their last 10 home games and2-5 ATS in their last 7 games playing on 1 days rest.

Anthony Davis is averaging 29.3 points and 13.3 rebounds while Jrue Holiday is averaging 21.2 points and 8.1 assists. The New Orleans Pelicans have split their last eight home games. The New Orleans Pelicans look for another victory after losing five of their last seven games. Julius Randle is the third double-digit scorer and Nikola Mirotic is grabbing 8.3 rebounds. The New Orleans Pelicans are allowing 36.8 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 46.7 rebounds per game. The New Orleans Pelicans are averaging 116.6 points on 48.1 percent shooting and allowing 115.1 points on 46.3 percent shooting. The New Orleans Pelicans are shooting 35.3 percent from beyond the arc and 77.1 percent from the free throw line.

Anthony Davis is averaging 27.5 points and 12.5 rebounds while Jrue Holiday is averaging 21 points and 7.9 assists. The New Orleans Pelicans are shooting 34.2 percent from beyond the arc and 76.8 percent from the free throw line. The New Orleans Pelicans look for another victory after splitting their last 10 games. The New Orleans Pelicans are averaging 115.7 points on 47.7 percent shooting and allowing 115.1 points on 46.5 percent shooting. The New Orleans Pelicans have lost four of their last six road games. The New Orleans Pelicans are allowing 36.4 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 47.1 rebounds per game. Julius Randle is the third double-digit scorer and E'Twaun Moore is grabbing 2.4 rebounds.

The Pelicans have had a lot of close losses and don't often play like a team that has every reason in the world to pack it in. The Denver Nuggets at home has been an automatic bet for me, as they're 22-10 ATS and have covered eight of their last 10 games.The New Orleans Pelicans are a complete mess with the Anthony Davis drama and are on the end of a back to back, but they continue to compete and are fresh off a comfortable win over the Phoenix Suns. This seems like too many points to lay, even if the trends suggest a Nuggets blowout. I'll take my chances with the truckload of points.

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BetDSI Resources

Western Conference and7-20 ATS in their last 27 vs. NBA Southwest. The underdog is 9-4 ATS in the last 13 meetings and the home team is 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings. The under is 7-3 in Pelicans last 10 home games. The over is 7-1 in Nuggets last 8 overall. ThePelicans are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 Wednesday games and1-4 ATS in their last 5 games playing on 0 days rest. TheNuggets are 2-9 ATS in their last 11 road games,1-5 ATS in their last 6 vs.