Colorado State (@5.75) vs Colorado (@1.14)
23-08-2019

Our Prediction:

Colorado will win

Colorado State – Colorado Match Prediction | 23-08-2019

However, Colorado regressed to sub-.500 again last year. There's excitement with this team, though, thanks to the return of quarterback Steven Montez. Colorado:The Buffaloes were one of college football's best stories in 2016 thanks to a breakout 10-win season. He'll be leading a new-look passing attack with the top three wideouts from last season gone to graduation.

Colorado State has won each of the past seven games these teams have played dating back to 1995, with Hawaii covering the spread only once in that span (in a 28-16 loss as a 13.5-point home underdog in 1996). The most recent meeting was last September, when Colorado State won 51-21 as a 6.5-point road favorite. The last game between the teams in Fort Collins resulted in a 49-22 Rams victory as a 20.5-point favorite in November of 2014.

Simply put, I dont think the spread is high enough, as I would be shocked if Colorado didnt win here by double-digits. Coming into this season I was really high on Colorado, as I think they are going to be one of the most improved teams in the Pac-12. At the same time, I was way down on Colorado State and recommended a play on Hawaii as a big dog and wasnt the least bit surprised to see them lose outright.

I would have to lean towards laying the points here with the Buffaloes, even though this is going to be a huge public play given how bad Colorado State looked in a nationally televised game that got a lot of attention this past Saturday. The biggest thing for me is that while we have seen this line jump in favor of Colorado after the Rams ugly loss to Hawaii, I still think theres some value here.

More Mountain West Basketball!

Another edition of the Rocky Mountain Showdown takes place on Friday in Denver. There's been a football resurgence in Colorado. On an evening that has just two games featuring a top-25 team, it'd be a good idea to tune in for this one (if you have Pac-12 Networks, that is).

It also raised some serious concerns with the defense, which gave up 617 total yards to a Hawaii offense that only had 4 starters back from a unit that averaged just 22.8 ppg and 403 ypg last year. Carta-Samuels, who came over as a grad transfer from Washington. Carta-Samuels threw for 537 yards and 5 touchdowns. The loss spoiled an impressive debut for starting quarterback K.J.

While Colorado will be playing their season opener, the Rams were in action this past Saturday, as they hosted Hawaii in Mountain West play. It was a lot more lopsided than the final score would indicate, as the Rainbow Warriors had a 37-7 lead with less than 5 minutes to play in the 3rd quarter. Colorado State went into that game as a heavy 17-point favorite, but would lose outright 34-43.

Adding to the uncertainty surrounding Colorado State is the fact that sophomore quarterback Collin Hill, who is coming off a second surgery to repair a torn ACL in his left knee, has yet to be medically cleared to play. K.J. Hill started three of the five games he played in 2016 before tearing his ACL for the first time, which forced him to sit out the 2017 season as a redshirt, and he then tore the ACL again in a pickup basketball game this past March a few days before the start of spring practices. Carta-Samuels, a graduate transfer who spent the past three seasons as Jake Brownings backup at Washington, will most likely be under center on Saturday.

The Rainbow Warriors are 9-39 straight up and 12-35-1 ATS against MWC opponents since joining the conference, which includes a 5-19 record (4-20 ATS) against MWC foes since the start of the 2015 season. If theres been a time in recent reasons to bet on Hawaii, its been prior to the official end of summerthe Rainbow Warriors are 11-1 ATS over their first two games of the season since the start of 2012. None of those games have been against Mountain West Conference foes, however, and Hawaii has struggled mightily against conference opponents since joining the MWC prior to the start of the 2012 season. The average score in the four most recent meetings between Hawaii and Colorado State since the start of the 2012 season has been Colorado State 44.3, Hawaii 24.5, with all four games going over the total. Given each teams inexperience on the defensive side of the ball and the fact that the pace of Hawaiis offense should increase with the implementation of the run-and-shoot, the wisest play here appears to be a wager on over 56.5 points. Even with all of the uncertainty surrounding the Rams head coaching and quarterbacking situations heading into this one, there arent many reasons to believe Hawaii will be able to keep the final outcome to within a couple of scores.

West Virginia

Colorado States defense was only marginally better last season, ranking 97thin FBS with an average of 431.6 yards allowed per game. The Rams brought in four new coaches on the defensive side of the ball, including coordinator John Jancek, who has implemented the same 4-3 base alignment he oversaw as Tennessees coordinator for a three-year period starting in 2013 (Colorado State ran a 3-4 base the past couple of seasons). His units first test will be against the run-and-shoot offense Hawaii has brought back for the first time since 2011, as the Rainbow Warriors try to break their current streak of seven straight losing seasons.

Only two starters are back, and itll be a work in progress though fall camp to come up with the right starting five. It starts with an offensive line that was okay in pass protection,but couldnt do anything against the run. The backs are there, though, to do more on the ground. Marcus McElroy has the talent to be a breakout star, and theres good depth with senior Mavin Kinsey back.

However, Warren Jackson has the makeup and skills to be the new star of the show, and Auburn transfer Nate Craig-Myers about to be a strong No. 2, at least.Throwing to them is QB Collin Hill, decent veteran passer whos had a hard time staying in one pice. Nebraska transfer Patrick OBrien will push, but hell almost certainly be the backup. Colorado State has been a machine for wide receivers,and itll miss Preston Williams one of the few bright spots from last season.

One of the big reasons the expectations are high despite the lack of experience is Colorado has one of the top signal callers in the Pac-12 in junior Steven Montez. Despite only returning 10 starters (4 offense, 6 defense), the expectation is for the Buffaloes to be a much improved team in what will be their 6th season under head coach Mike MacIntyre.

Not only do they have a talented quarterback in Montez, but they added in Virginia Tech transfer Travon McMillian at running back, which will ease the loss of Phillip Lindsay, who left as the schools #2 all-time rusher. While Colorado only has 4 starters back on offense from last year, there actually in a lot better shape than people realize. They also have a couple of Power 5 transfers in Juwaan Winfree (Maryland) and Tony Brown (Texas Tech) at wide receiver.