Arsenal (@1.4) vs Aston Villa (@7.5)
23-09-2019

Our Prediction:

Arsenal will win

Arsenal – Aston Villa Match Prediction | 23-09-2019 11:30

At all. The name Arsenal should strike fear into Villa fans worldwide. In the new modern era of football (marked at about 2015), Villa havent been able to question Arsenal. Youll have to recall Gabby Agbonlahor, Antonio Luna, Olof Mellberg and more to consider the last time Villa threatened Arsenal. Simply put, Aston Villa havent enjoyed a good match against the north Londoners in a long while.

In the scatter graph above, produced by the excellent Experimental361, we can see that Aston Villa head the graph and fall into the competent but busy category when defensive effectiveness is highlighted. This shows that Aston Villa, more than most teams, are capable of absorbing shots. Villa are giving away around 18 shots a game, but are capable of accepting 15 before a goal is scored. A well-organised defence like Villas is able to restrict shooting space in the box and act on reflex, there is plenty of reason to have faith in that. Teams arent simply being wasteful against the Villa either - Tyrone Mings is the league leader in shots blocked per 90 minutes and Tom Heaton in goal is a superb shot-stopper.

Fixtures

Emery must find his balance, because his structure - and his defenders - have been their own worst enemy. There is no reason, at all for Arsenal to be succumbing to that number of shots, because it will only take small moments of luck for teams to put away the Gunners. You cannot allow that amount of shots - and fail to organise a defensive structure - and expect to win games. You cannot claim to be defensive and suck up ninety-six shots. Villa should shoot often, because if there is a downfall to this Arsenal side, it will more than likely be wearing the red and white of the Gunners. Arsenal have faced more shots (96) than any team in the top five European Leagues and that stat, unlike Villa, is entirely their fault.

Aston Villa will be very wary of this, especially since they have conceded 4 goals in their 2 Premier League away days since their promotion. After 5 games they find themselves on 4 points, only outside the drop zone on goal difference. Overall, its been a pretty subdued start for The Villains, with their heavy summer investment yet to yield any real returns.

Plus, if you want Over/Under 2.5 Goals predictions, visit our Over 2.5 Goals tips page. MORE: Get the very latest Premier League tips for the next round of matches on our Premier League predictions page.

Arsenal vs Aston Villa H2H

Arsenal have shipped 7 goals in their last 4 home Premier League games and kept a clean sheet in just 7 of the 21 home league games since Emery took charge. We think backing an Arsenal Win and Both Teams to Score is great value here, and with Arsenal scoring at least 3 goals in 4 of their last 5 meetings with Villa, we fancy a 3-1 correct score prediction too.

In their last meeting at Emirates Stadium Arsenal recorded a 4-0 win over Aston Villa. Unai Emerys troops are likely to stick to their attacking style of play against the newcomers and seeing that they are a real force to be reckoned with at home, we believe that there is a big value in betting on the capital club. The Villans are tough to beat at home, but they are not capable of matching top-table sides on the road.

This is a club in transition, and from the outside it may look a dream. Where there have been cup finals, there have been ruthless thrashings. The internal workings of that dream though, are creepy, unsettling and no fun at all. Where philosophy existed, relentless tinkering and gameplans fill the void. Arsenal lack identity - and they arent able to chase the success craved so desperately by an outspoken and relentless fanbase.

Arsenal vs Aston Villa Predictions

The Gunners experienced all sorts of problems at the back in their last league match, but they are still seen as hot favourites to pick up all three points from Sundays football game. After dropping a two-goal advantage in a 2-2 draw with Watford, Arsenal will be looking to return to winning ways in the Premier League when they host Aston Villa at their Emirates Stadium.

2-2, and out of nothing more than a botched goal kick to flip the game state upon its head. Luiz overcommits, but he probably does it because he cant trust anyone but himself (funnily enough, nobody else can trust him). He gives away the penalty here and Watford bury it. Here, we have a mixture of both. He doesnt have anyone from the midfield aiding him, and hes having to point out another attacker to a defender - at the same time as his challenge. Sometimes, you dont make errors as an individual, you make them as a unit. Offering the weaker shooting opportunity is certainly better than giving away the penalty, but a rush of blood to the head is the decider. Its a mistake made and Luiz likely wont learn from this. Arsenals goal kick was proof enough of that.

Arsenal vs Aston Villa Head-To-Head Record

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